Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.237548 3.237018e-01 0.425089 0.551193 0.701795 0.873926 1.083512
2026-01-11 0.117400 2.112516e-01 0.342106 0.528393 0.777270 1.089189 1.500137
2026-01-18 0.056406 1.410324e-01 0.282772 0.512375 0.850500 1.306901 1.945169
2026-01-25 0.027351 9.993328e-02 0.246949 0.515074 0.943693 1.557198 2.454660
2026-02-01 0.010635 6.547776e-02 0.204991 0.493419 0.992912 1.747654 2.896706
2026-02-08 0.004751 5.042923e-02 0.192557 0.516777 1.112086 2.046286 3.507508
2026-02-15 0.001494 3.583432e-02 0.172136 0.517998 1.191969 2.289500 4.051043
2026-02-22 0.000563 3.025624e-02 0.172187 0.559942 1.345710 2.655871 4.792859
2026-03-01 0.000118 2.393932e-02 0.165585 0.584911 1.469985 2.981527 5.487023
2026-03-08 0.000003 1.733683e-02 0.152264 0.590101 1.556233 3.248785 6.101983
2026-03-15 NaN 1.135391e-02 0.134468 0.578432 1.606775 3.457703 6.633232
2026-03-22 NaN 8.201431e-03 0.126193 0.589190 1.702056 3.745838 7.297719
2026-03-29 NaN 5.371721e-03 0.115165 0.590046 1.779055 4.010601 7.942367
2026-04-05 NaN 2.835215e-03 0.098761 0.568888 1.806153 4.189003 8.455384
2026-04-12 NaN 1.395599e-03 0.085747 0.553411 1.842995 4.385743 9.004565
2026-04-19 NaN 7.473718e-04 0.078902 0.556993 1.923155 4.664635 9.697679
2026-04-26 NaN 2.344828e-04 0.066644 0.534460 1.938393 4.822972 10.193988
2026-05-03 NaN 1.331873e-04 0.065981 0.559366 2.071047 5.207613 11.081799
2026-05-10 NaN 3.738880e-05 0.060436 0.560759 2.145010 5.483016 11.791082
2026-05-17 NaN 2.808281e-05 0.063898 0.605158 2.331667 5.981761 12.893268
2026-05-24 NaN 1.072603e-05 0.063611 0.631562 2.473790 6.398548 13.863414
2026-05-31 NaN 7.173866e-07 0.059390 0.637057 2.561853 6.712829 14.663847
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.052388 0.624743 2.601273 6.932437 15.304944